Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 107.007733 123.169723 142.245491 166.783610 198.061597 237.398337 291.980624
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 83.256734 102.180526 126.870121 162.634618 215.368905 294.530499 432.463362
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 71.223250 90.932975 118.333973 161.328886 231.771281 353.460347 613.819780
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 63.737150 83.872822 113.290290 162.560281 250.972637 425.080759 887.564979
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 56.774622 76.274012 105.762879 157.524861 256.992513 474.648223 1178.005451
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 53.947585 74.272905 106.311092 165.908960 291.040623 608.002506 2010.960682
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 49.276769 68.798850 100.317903 161.009856 295.624610 671.363066 2796.023692
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 46.298231 65.635054 97.690784 161.861562 313.572985 791.024171 4657.847484
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 43.311940 62.130640 93.977073 159.731592 323.566926 896.341313 7739.924524
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 42.504062 62.117275 96.416366 170.900485 373.786163 1234.982484 30952.539198
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 42.652144 63.710373 102.004884 190.490571 461.187530 1995.790270 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 40.465638 60.999719 98.964394 189.085522 479.761374 2392.804214 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 38.209830 58.187767 95.815120 187.919336 504.049617 3027.642743 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.795980 54.924768 91.455187 182.981544 512.800016 3624.816322 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.949040 52.538201 88.602988 181.430112 535.917000 4712.409317 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.539701 50.839250 86.976606 182.893190 575.175759 6836.111198 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.703070 48.192479 83.030355 176.916189 574.559164 8149.031125 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 30.177945 47.996215 84.380032 186.876537 669.503540 18663.469089 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 28.631326 45.708048 80.827132 181.051207 668.421173 24318.195551 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 27.651147 44.461096 79.506806 182.062897 713.763456 50956.631034 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 26.533476 42.868367 77.236353 179.533662 734.164178 101561.912089 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 26.392397 43.206467 79.492777 192.826546 894.823400 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 26.688512 44.450205 84.091140 216.319135 1216.403381 NaN NaN